Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.031593 2.216791 2.414408 2.641495 2.895882 3.172797 3.498027
2026-01-18 1.785117 2.042428 2.333842 2.690362 3.117532 3.616381 4.248114
2026-01-25 1.604472 1.900234 2.250202 2.699023 3.265359 3.964391 4.905336
2026-02-01 1.440526 1.751663 2.132464 2.639191 3.305528 4.165843 5.384088
2026-02-08 1.319500 1.640303 2.044262 2.599017 3.355060 4.370630 5.875607
2026-02-15 1.228500 1.557048 1.981275 2.580500 3.423984 4.598944 6.415591
2026-02-22 1.179009 1.522480 1.976897 2.636720 3.595759 4.981387 7.218703
2026-03-01 1.111382 1.457604 1.925064 2.619814 3.657625 5.205152 7.800838
2026-03-08 1.044488 1.388634 1.861683 2.579420 3.678186 5.364164 8.292799
2026-03-15 0.970239 1.304526 1.770902 2.490856 3.616060 5.385214 8.552539
2026-03-22 0.933076 1.270581 1.749429 2.503350 3.709981 5.661588 9.281718
2026-03-29 0.908097 1.252395 1.749212 2.547209 3.855815 6.035152 10.230840
2026-04-05 0.881100 1.230398 1.742885 2.582510 3.993264 6.413188 11.253107
2026-04-12 0.853687 1.206173 1.731527 2.608600 4.117064 6.779854 12.309124
2026-04-19 0.823148 1.175399 1.707928 2.612391 4.201710 7.082973 13.281176
2026-04-26 0.780902 1.124430 1.649653 2.554002 4.170712 7.165495 13.797151
2026-05-03 0.746213 1.083464 1.604930 2.515243 4.171184 7.306773 14.460517
2026-05-10 0.718447 1.052015 1.573740 2.497426 4.208125 7.522240 15.324318
2026-05-17 0.707115 1.046012 1.583457 2.551380 4.383758 8.035036 16.974731
2026-05-24 0.682753 1.017866 1.554981 2.535152 4.422615 8.267680 17.979914
2026-05-31 0.655688 0.984147 1.515489 2.496378 4.413768 8.397085 18.743712
2026-06-07 0.621782 0.937897 1.452757 2.411345 4.306096 8.300335 18.895963
2026-06-14 0.607144 0.922906 1.442662 2.423342 4.395952 8.651672 20.327389